Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Chicago C vs Miami

Chicago C vs Miamisettled — Sep 5, 2026, 4:17pm ETOpen on Kalshi
CHC100%
$2.5M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Chicago C near 62% (Miami 42%) on Chicago C vs Miami. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $874K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Chicago C near 62% returns about $161 if they win (before fees); Miami near 42% returns about $238.

Javier Assad is listed for Chicago C; Ryan Gusto for Miami. On the season they sit 80-62 and 71-71. Over the last 5 games, Chicago C went 3-2 and Miami went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Javier Assad for Chicago C; Ryan Gusto for Miami.
  2. Season record Chicago C 80-62; Miami 71-71.
  3. Last five games Chicago C went 3-2 in their last 5; Miami went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.