Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Boston vs Baltimore

Boston vs Baltimoresettled — Sep 5, 2026, 8:54pm ETOpen on Kalshi
BOSTON100%
$1.3M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Boston near 83% (Baltimore 18%) on Boston vs Baltimore. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $1.3M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Boston near 83% returns about $120 if they win (before fees); Baltimore near 18% returns about $556.

Sonny Gray is listed for Boston; Chris Bassitt for Baltimore. On the season they sit 77-65 and 69-73. Over the last 5 games, Boston went 3-2 and Baltimore went 1-4.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Sonny Gray for Boston; Chris Bassitt for Baltimore.
  2. Season record Boston 77-65; Baltimore 69-73.
  3. Last five games Boston went 3-2 in their last 5; Baltimore went 1-4.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.