Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Atlanta vs Philadelphia

Atlanta vs Philadelphiasettled — Sep 6, 2026, 1:00pm ETOpen on Kalshi
ATLANTA100%
$1.4M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Atlanta near 51% (Philadelphia 50%) on Atlanta vs Philadelphia. That is essentially a coin flip. About $441K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Atlanta near 51% returns about $196 if they win (before fees); Philadelphia near 50% returns about $200.

Tyler Mahle is listed for Atlanta; Aaron Nola for Philadelphia. On the season they sit 84-58 and 80-62. Over the last 5 games, Atlanta went 2-3 and Philadelphia went 3-2.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Tyler Mahle for Atlanta; Aaron Nola for Philadelphia.
  2. Season record Atlanta 84-58; Philadelphia 80-62.
  3. Last five games Atlanta went 2-3 in their last 5; Philadelphia went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.