Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Boston vs Baltimore

Boston vs Baltimoresettled — Sep 6, 2026, 1:00pm ETOpen on Kalshi
BOSTON100%
$1.1M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Boston near 55% (Baltimore 46%) on Boston vs Baltimore. That is a lean, not a lock. About $373K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Boston near 55% returns about $182 if they win (before fees); Baltimore near 46% returns about $217.

Payton Tolle is listed for Boston; Kyle Bradish for Baltimore. On the season they sit 78-65 and 69-74. Over the last 5 games, Boston went 3-2 and Baltimore went 0-5.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Payton Tolle for Boston; Kyle Bradish for Baltimore.
  2. Season record Boston 78-65; Baltimore 69-74.
  3. Last five games Boston went 3-2 in their last 5; Baltimore went 0-5.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.