Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Chicago C vs Miami

Chicago C vs Miamisettled — Sep 6, 2026, 4:22pm ETOpen on Kalshi
MIAMI100%
$2M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Miami near 100% (Chicago C 1%) on Chicago C vs Miami. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $2.0M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Miami near 100% returns about $100 if they win (before fees); Chicago C near 1% returns about $10000.

Tyler Phillips is listed for Miami; Clay Holmes for Chicago C. On the season they sit 71-72 and 81-62. Over the last 5 games, Miami went 2-3 and Chicago C went 3-2.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Clay Holmes for Chicago C; Tyler Phillips for Miami.
  2. Season record Chicago C 81-62; Miami 71-72.
  3. Last five games Chicago C went 3-2 in their last 5; Miami went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.