Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Atlanta vs Philadelphia

Atlanta vs Philadelphiasettled — Sep 7, 2026, 2:43pm ETOpen on Kalshi
PHILADELPHIA100%
$2.4M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Philadelphia near 61% (Atlanta 40%) on Atlanta vs Philadelphia. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $13K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Philadelphia near 61% returns about $164 if they win (before fees); Atlanta near 40% returns about $250.

Jesús Luzardo is listed for Philadelphia; Grant Holmes for Atlanta. On the season they sit 80-63 and 85-58. Over the last 5 games, Philadelphia went 2-3 and Atlanta went 3-2.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Grant Holmes for Atlanta; Jesús Luzardo for Philadelphia.
  2. Season record Atlanta 85-58; Philadelphia 80-63.
  3. Last five games Atlanta went 3-2 in their last 5; Philadelphia went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 7, 2026 at 1:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.