Prediction market analysis

Squarefade

Be the wisdom, not the crowd

Sports · Baseball

New York M vs Miami

New York M vs Miamisettled — Sep 7, 2026, 2:43pm ETOpen on Kalshi
NYM100%
$2.3M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has New York M near 79% (Miami 21%) on New York M vs Miami. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $1.6M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on New York M near 79% returns about $127 if they win (before fees); Miami near 21% returns about $476.

Jonah Tong is listed for New York M; Eury Pérez for Miami. On the season they sit 65-78 and 72-72. Over the last 5 games, New York M went 3-2 and Miami went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Jonah Tong for New York M; Eury Pérez for Miami.
  2. Season record New York M 65-78; Miami 72-72.
  3. Last five games New York M went 3-2 in their last 5; Miami went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 7, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.