Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

New York M vs Miami

New York M vs Miamisettled — Sep 8, 2026, 9:14pm ETOpen on Kalshi
NYM100%
$2.9M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has New York M near 97% (Miami 4%) on New York M vs Miami. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $2.9M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on New York M near 97% returns about $103 if they win (before fees); Miami near 4% returns about $2500.

Sean Manaea is listed for New York M; Sandy Alcantara for Miami. On the season they sit 66-78 and 72-73. Over the last 5 games, New York M went 4-1 and Miami went 1-4.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Sean Manaea for New York M; Sandy Alcantara for Miami.
  2. Season record New York M 66-78; Miami 72-73.
  3. Last five games New York M went 4-1 in their last 5; Miami went 1-4.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.