Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Cleveland vs Baltimore

Cleveland vs Baltimoresettled — Sep 9, 2026, 9:03pm ETOpen on Kalshi
BALTIMORE100%
$2.4M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Baltimore near 99% (Cleveland 2%) on Cleveland vs Baltimore. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $2.4M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Baltimore near 99% returns about $101 if they win (before fees); Cleveland near 2% returns about $5000.

Shane Baz is listed for Baltimore; Foster Griffin for Cleveland. On the season they sit 70-76 and 74-72. Over the last 5 games, Baltimore went 1-4 and Cleveland went 3-2.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Foster Griffin for Cleveland; Shane Baz for Baltimore.
  2. Season record Cleveland 74-72; Baltimore 70-76.
  3. Last five games Cleveland went 3-2 in their last 5; Baltimore went 1-4.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 9, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.