Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

New York M vs Miami

New York M vs Miamisettled — Sep 9, 2026, 9:03pm ETOpen on Kalshi
NYM100%
$3.2M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has New York M near 62% (Miami 40%) on New York M vs Miami. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $3.2M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on New York M near 62% returns about $161 if they win (before fees); Miami near 40% returns about $250.

Robert Stock is listed for New York M; Janson Junk for Miami. On the season they sit 67-78 and 72-74. Over the last 5 games, New York M went 4-1 and Miami went 1-4.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Robert Stock for New York M; Janson Junk for Miami.
  2. Season record New York M 67-78; Miami 72-74.
  3. Last five games New York M went 4-1 in their last 5; Miami went 1-4.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 9, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.