Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Houston vs Philadelphia

Houston vs Philadelphiasettled — Sep 10, 2026, 1:41pm ETOpen on Kalshi
HOUSTON100%
$1.4M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Philadelphia near 52% (Houston 49%) on Houston vs Philadelphia. That is essentially a coin flip. About $888K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Philadelphia near 52% returns about $192 if they win (before fees); Houston near 49% returns about $204.

Zack Wheeler is listed for Philadelphia; Cristian Javier for Houston. On the season they sit 82-64 and 74-72. Over the last 5 games, Philadelphia went 3-2 and Houston went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Cristian Javier for Houston; Zack Wheeler for Philadelphia.
  2. Season record Houston 74-72; Philadelphia 82-64.
  3. Last five games Houston went 2-3 in their last 5; Philadelphia went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 10, 2026 at 1:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.