Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Texas vs Seattle

Texas vs Seattlesettled — Sep 10, 2026, 4:49pm ETOpen on Kalshi
SEATTLE100%
$4.2M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Texas near 73% (Seattle 28%) on Texas vs Seattle. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $2.9M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Texas near 73% returns about $137 if they win (before fees); Seattle near 28% returns about $357.

Jacob deGrom is listed for Texas; Logan Gilbert for Seattle. On the season they sit 72-74 and 68-78. Over the last 5 games, Texas went 2-3 and Seattle went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Jacob deGrom for Texas; Logan Gilbert for Seattle.
  2. Season record Texas 72-74; Seattle 68-78.
  3. Last five games Texas went 2-3 in their last 5; Seattle went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 10, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.