Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Pittsburgh vs Chicago WS

Pittsburgh vs Chicago WSsettled — Sep 10, 2026, 9:02pm ETOpen on Kalshi
PITTSBURGH100%
$2.1M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Pittsburgh near 65% (Chicago WS 36%) on Pittsburgh vs Chicago WS. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $2.1M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Pittsburgh near 65% returns about $154 if they win (before fees); Chicago WS near 36% returns about $278.

Jared Jones is listed for Pittsburgh; Hagen Smith for Chicago WS. On the season they sit 73-73 and 75-70. Over the last 5 games, Pittsburgh went 4-1 and Chicago WS went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Jared Jones for Pittsburgh; Hagen Smith for Chicago WS.
  2. Season record Pittsburgh 73-73; Chicago WS 75-70.
  3. Last five games Pittsburgh went 4-1 in their last 5; Chicago WS went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 10, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.