Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

New York M vs New York Y

New York M vs New York Ysettled — Sep 11, 2026, 9:04pm ETOpen on Kalshi
NYY100%
$1.6M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has New York Y near 91% (New York M 10%) on New York M vs New York Y. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $1.6M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on New York Y near 91% returns about $110 if they win (before fees); New York M near 10% returns about $1000.

Carlos Rodón is listed for New York Y; Nolan McLean for New York M. On the season they sit 84-62 and 68-78. Over the last 5 games, New York Y went 4-1 and New York M went 4-1.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Nolan McLean for New York M; Carlos Rodón for New York Y.
  2. Season record New York M 68-78; New York Y 84-62.
  3. Last five games New York M went 4-1 in their last 5; New York Y went 4-1.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 11, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.