Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Chicago WS vs St. Louis

Chicago WS vs St. Louissettled — Sep 11, 2026, 4:56pm ETOpen on Kalshi
LOUIS100%
$365K volume2 related markets

Kalshi has St. Louis near 51% (Chicago WS 50%) on Chicago WS vs St. Louis. That is essentially a coin flip. About $207K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on St. Louis near 51% returns about $196 if they win (before fees); Chicago WS near 50% returns about $200.

Matthew Liberatore is listed for St. Louis; Anthony Kay for Chicago WS. On the season they sit 72-75 and 75-71. Over the last 5 games, St. Louis went 1-4 and Chicago WS went 1-4.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Anthony Kay for Chicago WS; Matthew Liberatore for St. Louis.
  2. Season record Chicago WS 75-71; St. Louis 72-75.
  3. Last five games Chicago WS went 1-4 in their last 5; St. Louis went 1-4.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 11, 2026 at 8:15 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.