Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

New York M vs New York Y

New York M vs New York Ysettled — Sep 12, 2026, 1:06pm ETOpen on Kalshi
NYM100%
$1.1M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has New York Y near 60% (New York M 41%) on New York M vs New York Y. That is a solid edge, not a toss-up. About $227K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on New York Y near 60% returns about $167 if they win (before fees); New York M near 41% returns about $244.

Gerrit Cole is listed for New York Y; Zac Thornton for New York M. On the season they sit 85-62 and 68-79. Over the last 5 games, New York Y went 4-1 and New York M went 4-1.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Zac Thornton for New York M; Gerrit Cole for New York Y.
  2. Season record New York M 68-79; New York Y 85-62.
  3. Last five games New York M went 4-1 in their last 5; New York Y went 4-1.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.