Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Pittsburgh vs Chicago C

Pittsburgh vs Chicago Csettled — Sep 12, 2026, 4:30pm ETOpen on Kalshi
CHC100%
$1.4M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Pittsburgh near 61% (Chicago C 40%) on Pittsburgh vs Chicago C. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $1.4M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Pittsburgh near 61% returns about $164 if they win (before fees); Chicago C near 40% returns about $250.

Paul Skenes is listed for Pittsburgh; Clay Holmes for Chicago C. On the season they sit 74-74 and 82-66. Over the last 5 games, Pittsburgh went 4-1 and Chicago C went 1-4.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Paul Skenes for Pittsburgh; Clay Holmes for Chicago C.
  2. Season record Pittsburgh 74-74; Chicago C 82-66.
  3. Last five games Pittsburgh went 4-1 in their last 5; Chicago C went 1-4.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 2:20 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.