Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Philadelphia vs Atlanta

Philadelphia vs Atlantasettled — Sep 12, 2026, 8:57pm ETOpen on Kalshi
ATLANTA100%
$2.2M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Atlanta near 97% (Philadelphia 4%) on Philadelphia vs Atlanta. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $2.2M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Atlanta near 97% returns about $103 if they win (before fees); Philadelphia near 4% returns about $2500.

Tyler Mahle is listed for Atlanta; Tim Mayza for Philadelphia. On the season they sit 87-61 and 82-66. Over the last 5 games, Atlanta went 2-3 and Philadelphia went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Tim Mayza for Philadelphia; Tyler Mahle for Atlanta.
  2. Season record Philadelphia 82-66; Atlanta 87-61.
  3. Last five games Philadelphia went 2-3 in their last 5; Atlanta went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.