Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Chicago WS vs Cleveland

Chicago WS vs Clevelandsettled — Sep 14, 2026, 9:25pm ETOpen on Kalshi
WS100%
$2.3M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Chicago WS near 99% (Cleveland 2%) on Chicago WS vs Cleveland. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $2.3M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Chicago WS near 99% returns about $101 if they win (before fees); Cleveland near 2% returns about $5000.

Sean Newcomb is listed for Chicago WS; Gavin Williams for Cleveland. On the season they sit 76-73 and 76-74. Over the last 5 games, Chicago WS went 1-4 and Cleveland went 3-2.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Sean Newcomb for Chicago WS; Gavin Williams for Cleveland.
  2. Season record Chicago WS 76-73; Cleveland 76-74.
  3. Last five games Chicago WS went 1-4 in their last 5; Cleveland went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 14, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.