Prediction market analysis

Squarefade

Be the wisdom, not the crowd

Sports · Baseball

Detroit vs Toronto

Detroit vs Torontosettled — Sep 14, 2026, 9:25pm ETOpen on Kalshi
DETROIT100%
$1.3M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Detroit near 78% (Toronto 23%) on Detroit vs Toronto. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $1.3M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Detroit near 78% returns about $128 if they win (before fees); Toronto near 23% returns about $435.

Troy Melton is listed for Detroit; José Soriano for Toronto. On the season they sit 70-79 and 75-75. Over the last 5 games, Detroit went 4-1 and Toronto went 3-2.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Troy Melton for Detroit; José Soriano for Toronto.
  2. Season record Detroit 70-79; Toronto 75-75.
  3. Last five games Detroit went 4-1 in their last 5; Toronto went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 14, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.