Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Boston vs Texas

Boston vs Texassettled — Sep 15, 2026, 5:17pm ETOpen on Kalshi
TEXAS100%
$1M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Texas near 55% (Boston 46%) on Boston vs Texas. That is a lean, not a lock. About $602K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Texas near 55% returns about $182 if they win (before fees); Boston near 46% returns about $217.

Jacob deGrom is listed for Texas; Patrick Sandoval for Boston. On the season they sit 74-76 and 82-68. Over the last 5 games, Texas went 2-3 and Boston went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Patrick Sandoval for Boston; Jacob deGrom for Texas.
  2. Season record Boston 82-68; Texas 74-76.
  3. Last five games Boston went 2-3 in their last 5; Texas went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.