Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Chicago WS vs Cleveland

Chicago WS vs Clevelandsettled — Sep 16, 2026, 2:10pm ETOpen on Kalshi
CLEVELAND100%
$2.9M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Cleveland near 85% (Chicago WS 15%) on Chicago WS vs Cleveland. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $2.1M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Cleveland near 85% returns about $118 if they win (before fees); Chicago WS near 15% returns about $667.

Parker Messick is listed for Cleveland; Anthony Kay for Chicago WS. On the season they sit 77-75 and 77-74. Over the last 5 games, Cleveland went 3-2 and Chicago WS went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Anthony Kay for Chicago WS; Parker Messick for Cleveland.
  2. Season record Chicago WS 77-74; Cleveland 77-75.
  3. Last five games Chicago WS went 2-3 in their last 5; Cleveland went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.