Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

New York Y vs Minnesota

New York Y vs Minnesotasettled — Sep 16, 2026, 5:15pm ETOpen on Kalshi
MINNESOTA100%
$9.9M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has New York Y near 70% (Minnesota 59%) on New York Y vs Minnesota. That is a solid edge, not a toss-up. About $9.9M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on New York Y near 70% returns about $143 if they win (before fees); Minnesota near 59% returns about $169.

Carlos Rodón is listed for New York Y; Zebby Matthews for Minnesota. On the season they sit 88-63 and 70-81. Over the last 5 games, New York Y went 4-1 and Minnesota went 1-4.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Carlos Rodón for New York Y; Zebby Matthews for Minnesota.
  2. Season record New York Y 88-63; Minnesota 70-81.
  3. Last five games New York Y went 4-1 in their last 5; Minnesota went 1-4.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.