Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Philadelphia vs New York M

Philadelphia vs New York Msettled — Sep 17, 2026, 9:16pm ETOpen on Kalshi
PHILADELPHIA100%
$2.5M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Philadelphia near 84% (New York M 17%) on Philadelphia vs New York M. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $2.5M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Philadelphia near 84% returns about $119 if they win (before fees); New York M near 17% returns about $588.

Aaron Nola is listed for Philadelphia; Nolan McLean for New York M. On the season they sit 84-68 and 69-83. Over the last 5 games, Philadelphia went 2-3 and New York M went 1-4.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Aaron Nola for Philadelphia; Nolan McLean for New York M.
  2. Season record Philadelphia 84-68; New York M 69-83.
  3. Last five games Philadelphia went 2-3 in their last 5; New York M went 1-4.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 17, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.