Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Chicago C vs Cincinnati

Chicago C vs Cincinnatisettled — Sep 18, 2026, 9:08pm ETOpen on Kalshi
CINCINNATI100%
$3.3M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Cincinnati near 93% (Chicago C 8%) on Chicago C vs Cincinnati. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $3.3M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Cincinnati near 93% returns about $108 if they win (before fees); Chicago C near 8% returns about $1250.

Chase Burns is listed for Cincinnati; Clay Holmes for Chicago C. On the season they sit 71-82 and 85-68. Over the last 5 games, Cincinnati went 2-3 and Chicago C went 3-2.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Clay Holmes for Chicago C; Chase Burns for Cincinnati.
  2. Season record Chicago C 85-68; Cincinnati 71-82.
  3. Last five games Chicago C went 3-2 in their last 5; Cincinnati went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 18, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.