Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Toronto vs Baltimore

Toronto vs Baltimoresettled — Sep 21, 2026, 9:35pm ETOpen on Kalshi
BALTIMORE100%
$3.4M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Toronto near 74% (Baltimore 27%) on Toronto vs Baltimore. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $3.4M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Toronto near 74% returns about $135 if they win (before fees); Baltimore near 27% returns about $370.

Trey Yesavage is listed for Toronto; Shane Baz for Baltimore. On the season they sit 77-79 and 75-81. Over the last 5 games, Toronto went 2-3 and Baltimore went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Trey Yesavage for Toronto; Shane Baz for Baltimore.
  2. Season record Toronto 77-79; Baltimore 75-81.
  3. Last five games Toronto went 2-3 in their last 5; Baltimore went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 21, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.