Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Washington vs Detroit

Washington vs Detroitsettled — Sep 21, 2026, 3:24pm ETOpen on Kalshi
DETROIT100%
$1.7M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Detroit near 56% (Washington 45%) on Washington vs Detroit. That is a solid edge, not a toss-up. About $215K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Detroit near 56% returns about $179 if they win (before fees); Washington near 45% returns about $222.

River Ryan is listed for Detroit; DJ Herz for Washington. On the season they sit 73-83 and 73-83. Over the last 5 games, Detroit went 1-4 and Washington went 3-2.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers DJ Herz for Washington; River Ryan for Detroit.
  2. Season record Washington 73-83; Detroit 73-83.
  3. Last five games Washington went 3-2 in their last 5; Detroit went 1-4.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 21, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.