Prediction market analysis

Squarefade

Be the wisdom, not the crowd

Sports · Baseball

Cleveland vs Boston

Cleveland vs Bostonsettled — Sep 22, 2026, 9:28pm ETOpen on Kalshi
CLEVELAND100%
$3.2M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Cleveland near 87% (Boston 14%) on Cleveland vs Boston. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $3.2M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Cleveland near 87% returns about $115 if they win (before fees); Boston near 14% returns about $714.

Parker Messick is listed for Cleveland; Payton Tolle for Boston. On the season they sit 81-75 and 84-72. Over the last 5 games, Cleveland went 5-0 and Boston went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Parker Messick for Cleveland; Payton Tolle for Boston.
  2. Season record Cleveland 81-75; Boston 84-72.
  3. Last five games Cleveland went 5-0 in their last 5; Boston went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 22, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.