Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

New York M vs Texas

New York M vs Texassettled — Sep 22, 2026, 2:03pm ETOpen on Kalshi
NYM100%
$724K volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Texas near 53% (New York M 48%) on New York M vs Texas. That is a lean, not a lock. About $252K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Texas near 53% returns about $189 if they win (before fees); New York M near 48% returns about $208.

MacKenzie Gore is listed for Texas; Sean Manaea for New York M. On the season they sit 78-78 and 71-85. Over the last 5 games, Texas went 3-2 and New York M went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Sean Manaea for New York M; MacKenzie Gore for Texas.
  2. Season record New York M 71-85; Texas 78-78.
  3. Last five games New York M went 2-3 in their last 5; Texas went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 22, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.