Prediction market analysis

Squarefade

Be the wisdom, not the crowd

Sports · Baseball

Cleveland vs Boston

Cleveland vs Bostonupdated — Sep 24Open on Kalshi
BOSTON1.2x83%
CLEVELAND5.6x18%
$2.3M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Boston near 83% (Cleveland 18%) on Cleveland vs Boston. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $2.3M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Boston near 83% returns about $120 if they win (before fees); Cleveland near 18% returns about $556.

Sonny Gray is listed for Boston; Foster Griffin for Cleveland. On the season they sit 84-73 and 82-75. Over the last 5 games, Boston went 2-3 and Cleveland went 5-0.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Foster Griffin for Cleveland; Sonny Gray for Boston.
  2. Season record Cleveland 82-75; Boston 84-73.
  3. Last five games Cleveland went 5-0 in their last 5; Boston went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 23, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.