Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

St. Louis vs Pittsburgh

St. Louis vs Pittsburghsettled — Sep 24, 2026, 2:24pm ETOpen on Kalshi
PITTSBURGH100%
$2M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Pittsburgh near 55% (St. Louis 46%) on St. Louis vs Pittsburgh. That is a lean, not a lock. About $2.0M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Pittsburgh near 55% returns about $182 if they win (before fees); St. Louis near 46% returns about $217.

Paul Skenes is listed for Pittsburgh; Kyle Leahy for St. Louis. On the season they sit 80-78 and 77-81. Over the last 5 games, Pittsburgh went 4-1 and St. Louis went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Kyle Leahy for St. Louis; Paul Skenes for Pittsburgh.
  2. Season record St. Louis 77-81; Pittsburgh 80-78.
  3. Last five games St. Louis went 2-3 in their last 5; Pittsburgh went 4-1.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 24, 2026 at 12:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.