Prediction market analysis

Squarefade

Be the wisdom, not the crowd

Sports · Baseball

Miami vs Chicago C

Miami vs Chicago Csettled — Sep 24, 2026, 2:24pm ETOpen on Kalshi
CHC100%
$449K volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Chicago C near 69% (Miami 31%) on Miami vs Chicago C. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $449K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Chicago C near 69% returns about $145 if they win (before fees); Miami near 31% returns about $323.

Matthew Boyd is listed for Chicago C; Tyler Phillips for Miami. On the season they sit 87-71 and 78-80. Over the last 5 games, Chicago C went 2-3 and Miami went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Tyler Phillips for Miami; Matthew Boyd for Chicago C.
  2. Season record Miami 78-80; Chicago C 87-71.
  3. Last five games Miami went 2-3 in their last 5; Chicago C went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 24, 2026 at 2:20 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.