Prediction market analysis

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New York M vs Washington

New York M vs Washingtonsettled — Sep 25, 2026, 9:30pm ETOpen on Kalshi
WASHINGTON100%
$1.8M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Washington near 86% (New York M 15%) on New York M vs Washington. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $1.8M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Washington near 86% returns about $116 if they win (before fees); New York M near 15% returns about $667.

Andrew Alvarez is listed for Washington; Jefry Yan for New York M. On the season they sit 75-84 and 73-86. Over the last 5 games, Washington went 3-2 and New York M went 3-2.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Jefry Yan for New York M; Andrew Alvarez for Washington.
  2. Season record New York M 73-86; Washington 75-84.
  3. Last five games New York M went 3-2 in their last 5; Washington went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.