Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Baltimore vs New York Y (Game 2)

Baltimore vs New York Y (Game 2)settled — Sep 25, 2026, 9:30pm ETOpen on Kalshi
NYY100%
$2.9M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has New York Y near 96% (Baltimore 5%) on Baltimore vs New York Y (Game 2). That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $2.9M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on New York Y near 96% returns about $104 if they win (before fees); Baltimore near 5% returns about $2000.

Ryan Yarbrough is listed for New York Y; Brandon Young for Baltimore. On the season they sit 92-68 and 79-81. Over the last 5 games, New York Y went 3-2 and Baltimore went 3-2.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Brandon Young for Baltimore; Ryan Yarbrough for New York Y.
  2. Season record Baltimore 79-81; New York Y 92-68.
  3. Last five games Baltimore went 3-2 in their last 5; New York Y went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.