Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Chicago C vs Boston

Chicago C vs Bostonsettled — Sep 25, 2026, 2:33pm ETOpen on Kalshi
BOSTON100%
$1.3M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Chicago C near 53% (Boston 49%) on Chicago C vs Boston. That is essentially a coin flip. About $340K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Chicago C near 53% returns about $189 if they win (before fees); Boston near 49% returns about $204.

David Peterson is listed for Chicago C; Brayan Bello for Boston. On the season they sit 88-71 and 85-74. Over the last 5 games, Chicago C went 3-2 and Boston went 1-4.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers David Peterson for Chicago C; Brayan Bello for Boston.
  2. Season record Chicago C 88-71; Boston 85-74.
  3. Last five games Chicago C went 3-2 in their last 5; Boston went 1-4.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.