Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Texas vs Minnesota

Texas vs Minnesotasettled — Sep 25, 2026, 9:30pm ETOpen on Kalshi
MINNESOTA100%
$1.6M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Minnesota near 97% (Texas 3%) on Texas vs Minnesota. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $1.6M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Minnesota near 97% returns about $103 if they win (before fees); Texas near 3% returns about $3333.

Joe Ryan is listed for Minnesota; Jacob deGrom for Texas. On the season they sit 75-84 and 79-80. Over the last 5 games, Minnesota went 3-2 and Texas went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Jacob deGrom for Texas; Joe Ryan for Minnesota.
  2. Season record Texas 79-80; Minnesota 75-84.
  3. Last five games Texas went 2-3 in their last 5; Minnesota went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.