Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Pittsburgh vs Detroit

Pittsburgh vs Detroitsettled — Sep 26, 2026, 1:44pm ETOpen on Kalshi
DETROIT100%
$1.2M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Detroit near 57% (Pittsburgh 45%) on Pittsburgh vs Detroit. That is a solid edge, not a toss-up. About $393K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Detroit near 57% returns about $175 if they win (before fees); Pittsburgh near 45% returns about $222.

Justin Verlander is listed for Detroit; Kirby Yates for Pittsburgh. On the season they sit 75-85 and 81-79. Over the last 5 games, Detroit went 2-3 and Pittsburgh went 3-2.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Kirby Yates for Pittsburgh; Justin Verlander for Detroit.
  2. Season record Pittsburgh 81-79; Detroit 75-85.
  3. Last five games Pittsburgh went 3-2 in their last 5; Detroit went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 26, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.