Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Cincinnati vs Toronto

Cincinnati vs Torontosettled — Sep 26, 2026, 5:05pm ETOpen on Kalshi
CINCINNATI100%
$1M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Cincinnati near 92% (Toronto 8%) on Cincinnati vs Toronto. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $1.0M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Cincinnati near 92% returns about $109 if they win (before fees); Toronto near 8% returns about $1250.

Rhett Lowder is listed for Cincinnati; Trey Yesavage for Toronto. On the season they sit 74-86 and 78-82. Over the last 5 games, Cincinnati went 2-3 and Toronto went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Rhett Lowder for Cincinnati; Trey Yesavage for Toronto.
  2. Season record Cincinnati 74-86; Toronto 78-82.
  3. Last five games Cincinnati went 2-3 in their last 5; Toronto went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 26, 2026 at 3:07 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.