Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

New York M vs Washington

New York M vs Washingtonsettled — Sep 26, 2026, 1:44pm ETOpen on Kalshi
NYM100%
$646K volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Washington near 69% (New York M 33%) on New York M vs Washington. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $646K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Washington near 69% returns about $145 if they win (before fees); New York M near 33% returns about $303.

Connelly Early is listed for Washington; Jonah Tong for New York M. On the season they sit 76-84 and 73-87. Over the last 5 games, Washington went 3-2 and New York M went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Jonah Tong for New York M; Connelly Early for Washington.
  2. Season record New York M 73-87; Washington 76-84.
  3. Last five games New York M went 2-3 in their last 5; Washington went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 26, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.