Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Baltimore vs New York Y

Baltimore vs New York Ysettled — Sep 27, 2026, 2:20pm ETOpen on Kalshi
NYY53%
BALTIMORE47%
$251K volume2 related markets

Kalshi has New York Y near 52% (Baltimore 49%) on Baltimore vs New York Y. That is essentially a coin flip. About $251K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on New York Y near 52% returns about $192 if they win (before fees); Baltimore near 49% returns about $204.

Elmer Rodríguez is listed for New York Y; Shane Baz for Baltimore. On the season they sit 93-68 and 79-82. Over the last 5 games, New York Y went 3-2 and Baltimore went 4-1.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Shane Baz for Baltimore; Elmer Rodríguez for New York Y.
  2. Season record Baltimore 79-82; New York Y 93-68.
  3. Last five games Baltimore went 4-1 in their last 5; New York Y went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 27, 2026 at 3:20 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.