Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Game 1: Philadelphia vs Atlanta

Game 1: Philadelphia vs Atlantasettled — Sep 29, 2026, 3:23pm ETOpen on Kalshi
ATLANTA100%
$8.7M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has Atlanta near 64% (Philadelphia 37%) on Game 1: Philadelphia vs Atlanta. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $109K has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on Atlanta near 64% returns about $156 if they win (before fees); Philadelphia near 37% returns about $270.

Chris Sale is listed for Atlanta; Jesús Luzardo for Philadelphia. On the season they sit 0-0 and 0-0. Over the last 5 games, Atlanta went 2-3 and Philadelphia went 1-4.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Jesús Luzardo for Philadelphia; Chris Sale for Atlanta.
  2. Season record Philadelphia 0-0; Atlanta 0-0.
  3. Last five games Philadelphia went 1-4 in their last 5; Atlanta went 2-3.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 29, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.