Prediction market analysis

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Sports · Baseball

Game 1: Boston vs New York Y

Game 1: Boston vs New York Ysettled — Sep 29, 2026, 10:05pm ETOpen on Kalshi
NYY100%
$10M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has New York Y near 89% (Boston 12%) on Game 1: Boston vs New York Y. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $10.2M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on New York Y near 89% returns about $112 if they win (before fees); Boston near 12% returns about $833.

Cam Schlittler is listed for New York Y; Payton Tolle for Boston. On the season they sit 0-0 and 0-0. Over the last 5 games, New York Y went 3-2 and Boston went 3-2.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Payton Tolle for Boston; Cam Schlittler for New York Y.
  2. Season record Boston 0-0; New York Y 0-0.
  3. Last five games Boston went 3-2 in their last 5; New York Y went 3-2.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 29, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.