Prediction market analysis

Squarefade

Be the wisdom, not the crowd

Sports · Baseball

Game 2: Boston vs New York Y

Game 2: Boston vs New York Ysettled — Sep 30, 2026, 10:06pm ETOpen on Kalshi
NYY100%
$10M volume2 related markets

Kalshi has New York Y near 91% (Boston 10%) on Game 2: Boston vs New York Y. That is a clear favorite on a two-team board. About $10.4M has traded on this board.

Pays on who wins the game — not the spread or total. $100 on New York Y near 91% returns about $110 if they win (before fees); Boston near 10% returns about $1000.

Max Fried is listed for New York Y; Sonny Gray for Boston. On the season they sit 1-0 and 0-1. Over the last 5 games, New York Y went 4-1 and Boston went 2-3.

Game context

  1. Starting pitchers Sonny Gray for Boston; Max Fried for New York Y.
  2. Season record Boston 0-1; New York Y 1-0.
  3. Last five games Boston went 2-3 in their last 5; New York Y went 4-1.

When will this market get resolved?

Resolves when the game ends — scheduled for Sep 30, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).

Sources

  • MLB Stats API — Listed starters, season records, and results from recent games.