Fed

Social posts are floating an “80% chance of a Fed hike next year.” On Kalshi’s next-hike ladder, a…

Kalshi has Fed maintains rate near 66% (Hike 25bps 33%) on Fed decision in Sep 2026?.

The July Federal Reserve meeting is days away, and traders have stopped treating a hold as nearly certain.

The Fed’s next statement lands July 29. The target range already sits at 3.50%–3.75%. The live debate in…