Baseline iPhone 18 before April 2027 leads as Apple splits the launch
When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
BEFORE APRIL 2…1.2x83%
BEFORE MARCH 2…5.9x17%
$5.2M volume5 related markets
Prediction market analysis
Squarefade
Be the wisdom, not the crowd
Democrats hold a narrow edge in a coin-flip Texas Senate race
Texas Senate winner?
TALARICO1.4x70%
PAXTON3.2x31%
$53M volume2 related markets
Daily Sports
Today’s game boards — odds and a short read.
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Open markets — longer reads and reference hubs.
Anthropic IPO confirmation before November remains the clear favorite
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?BEFORE APR 1, …1.0x96%BEFORE FEB 1, …1.1x94%$4.1M volume12 related marketsAnthropic confidentially filed a draft registration statement (Form S-1) with the SEC in June. Traders favor a confirmed…
Democrats are slight favorites to hold more governorships after 2026
Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?DEMOCRATIC PAR…1.2x81%REPUBLICAN PAR…6.7x15%$315K volume3 related marketsFavorite and runner-up are closer than a clean two-party story: Democrats lead Republicans to hold more governorships after…
