Squarefade

On LM Arena’s text leaderboard as of early August, Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 sits at number one, with…

The Los Angeles Rams sit alone atop the 2027 pro football champion market at 16% after adding Myles…

Bitcoin is trading near the same dollars this market uses to pick a year-end winner. The CF Benchmarks…

Kalshi’s July CPI ladder prices Above −0.1% at 89% and Above 0.0% at 61% — separate Yes/No bets…

The September hold has moved from a coin flip to a clear favorite — but 35% on a…

The January 4, 2027 deadline is still on the calendar, and traders treat the SAVE Act becoming law…

Favorite and runner-up are closer than the headline suggests: Paul Giamatti leads Best Supporting Actor, with Robert Pattinson…

The 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is still on the calendar, and traders treat U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds…

Favorite and runner-up are closer than a clean two-party story: Democrats lead Republicans to hold more governorships after…

Favorite and runner-up are closer than the headline suggests: Vice President J.D. Vance leads Secretary of State Marco…

An 83% chance Democrats win the U.S. House in 2026 still leaves Republicans a thin path on a…

Traders have stopped treating Senate control as a House-style blowout — Republicans hold only a thin edge over…

Kalshi’s 2026 pro baseball champion market still prices the Los Angeles Dodgers as a clear favorite into late…

Kalshi’s 2027 pro basketball champion market is a two-horse open at the top: Oklahoma City at 22% and…

Nobody has formally entered the 2028 Democratic presidential race. National surveys in July still put Kamala Harris first;…

North Carolina’s former governor Roy Cooper is the Democratic nominee for the state’s open U.S. Senate seat. Traders…

LeBron James has spent recent weeks in Akron with family and friends, still without saying when he will…

Dee Valladares, who won season 45 of the CBS show Survivor, entered Big Brother Season 28 as a…