Kalshi prediction market analysis

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Be the wisdom, not the crowd

California Governor Gavin Newsom at the Lake Tahoe Summit

Newsom leads a crowded 2028 Democratic field while polls still favor Harris

2028 Democratic presidential nominee NEWSOM 18% · 5.6x

Nobody has formally entered the 2028 Democratic presidential race. National surveys in July still put Kamala Harris first; Kalshi prices California Governor Gavin Newsom as the favorite anyway.