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2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Newsom leads a crowded 2028 Democratic field while polls still favor Harris

2028 Democratic presidential nominee NEWSOM 18% · 5.6x

Elections · 2028 — July 22, 2026, 5:50pm ET

Traders price the SAVE Act as unlikely to become law by early 2027
Will "SAVE Act" (H.R. 22) becomes law before Jan 4, 2027? BEFORE JAN 4, … 7.5% · 13.3x
Politics · Congress — July 22, 2026, 6:46pm ET
Giamatti leads Pattinson for Best Supporting Actor
Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actor GIAMATTI 29% · 3.4x
Culture · Oscars — July 22, 2026, 6:46pm ET
Ella Langley is a near lock for Best New Artist
Grammy Winner: Best New Artist LANGLEY 95% · 1.1x
Culture · Grammys — July 22, 2026, 6:46pm ET
Miami’s July 23 high favors 92–93° at the airport
Highest temperature in Miami on Jul 23, 2026? 92° TO 93° 58% · 1.7x
Climate · Daily temperature — July 22, 2026, 6:46pm ET
NYC high for July 23 clusters around 79–82°
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 23, 2026? 79° TO 80° 44% · 2.3x
Climate · Daily temperature — July 22, 2026, 6:46pm ET
September Fed decision is a coin flip between hold and a hike
Fed decision in Sep 2026? RATE 50% · 2.0x
Economics · Fed — July 22, 2026, 6:44pm ET
Donalds is a near lock for Florida’s GOP governor nomination
Florida Republican Governor nominee? DONALDS 96.8% · 1.0x
Elections · Governor — July 22, 2026, 6:44pm ET
Democrats are slight favorites to hold more governorships after 2026
Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? PARTY 54% · 1.9x
Elections · Governor — July 22, 2026, 6:44pm ET
Q2 GDP: traders see Above 1.5% as likely, Above 2% as a coin flip
US GDP growth in Q2 2026? ABOVE 2.0% 51% · 2.0x
Economics · GDP — July 22, 2026, 6:44pm ET
July CPI: traders lean toward a print still clearing 0%
CPI in July ABOVE 0.0% 67% · 1.5x
Economics · Inflation — July 22, 2026, 6:44pm ET
Vance leads Rubio for the 2028 Republican nomination
2028 Republican presidential nominee VANCE 40% · 2.5x
Elections · 2028 — July 22, 2026, 6:42pm ET
Democrats are heavy favorites to win the House in 2026
Which party will win the U.S. House? PARTY 83% · 1.2x
Elections · House — July 22, 2026, 6:42pm ET
Republicans hold a thin edge for Senate control in 2026
Which party will win the U.S. Senate? PARTY 56% · 1.8x
Elections · Senate — July 22, 2026, 6:42pm ET
Palmeiras are favorites over Atlético Mineiro with the draw still live
Palmeiras vs Atletico Mineiro Winner? PALMEIRAS 63% · 1.6x
Sports · Soccer — July 22, 2026, 6:42pm ET
Lakers jump to 60% for Bronny’s next team before October
What will be Bronny James's next team? L 60% · 1.7x
Sports · Basketball — July 22, 2026, 6:42pm ET
Ankalaev is a heavy favorite over Guskov on short notice
Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov ANKALAEV 83% · 1.2x
Sports · MMA — July 22, 2026, 6:40pm ET
Rahm is the LIV Golf UK favorite on a deep JCB field
LIV Golf United Kingdom Champion? RAHM 21% · 4.8x
Sports · Golf — July 22, 2026, 6:40pm ET
Dodgers lead the World Series board with the Yankees a distant second
Pro Baseball Champion D 34.3% · 2.9x
Sports · Baseball — July 22, 2026, 6:40pm ET
OKC and San Antonio sit nearly even for the 2027 NBA title
2027 Pro Basketball Champion CITY 22% · 4.5x
Sports · Basketball — July 22, 2026, 6:40pm ET
Harry Kane leads the Ballon d’Or board with Yamal the clear chase
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? KANE 45% · 2.2x
Sports · Soccer — July 22, 2026, 6:40pm ET
Traders put a real minority on a July hike clearing 3.75%
Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting? ABOVE 3.75% 23% · 4.3x
Economics · Fed — July 22, 2026, 5:50pm ET
LAX high settles near 77–78° while downtown heats up
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 22, 2026? 77° TO 78° 90% · 1.1x
Climate · Daily temperature — July 22, 2026, 5:50pm ET
Miami hosts Chicago without Messi as Lewandowski debuts
Miami vs Chicago Fire Winner? MIAMI 42% · 2.4x
Sports · Soccer — July 22, 2026, 5:50pm ET
Toronto and Tampa Bay sit nearly even after two Rays blowouts
Tampa Bay vs Toronto Winner? SETTLED · TORONTO
Sports · Baseball — July 22, 2026, 5:50pm ET
Boston stays a clear favorite in Game 1 of a rain-made doubleheader
Baltimore vs Boston Winner? SETTLED · BOSTON
Sports · Baseball — July 22, 2026, 1:24pm ET
Philadelphia stays a slight favorite after beating the Dodgers 10-7
Los Angeles D vs Philadelphia Winner? SETTLED · PHILADELPHIA
Sports · Baseball — July 21, 2026, 3:28pm ET
Toronto is a coin-flip favorite after Chicago’s 12-4 statement
Chicago White Sox vs Toronto Winner? SETTLED · CWS
Sports · Baseball — July 18, 2026, 1:40pm ET
Democrats are a heavy favorite in North Carolina, with a closer race underneath
Will Democrats win the Senate race in North Carolina? COOPER 90.8% · 1.1x
Elections · Senate — July 20, 2026, 2:41pm ET
Darline Graham leads South Carolina’s special Senate primary after Trump’s endorsement
South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner? GRAHAM 73% · 1.4x
Elections · Primaries — July 20, 2026, 4:11pm ET
Miami takes the lead for LeBron after Cleveland’s weeklong slide
What will LeBron James’s next team be?
Sports · Basketball — July 20, 2026, 12:40pm ET
Spain is the favorite, but Messi’s Argentina is built for a final
Final: Spain vs Argentina SETTLED · FR
Sports · Soccer — July 17, 2026, 2:44pm ET
The Fed hold is a heavy favorite after a mid-month hike scare
Fed decision in July 2026? RATE 77% · 1.3x
Economics · Fed — July 17, 2026, 8:30pm ET
Scheffler is the 3M Open favorite on a course he’s never played
Who will win the 3M Open? SETTLED · TCAM
Sports · Golf — July 20, 2026, 3:29pm ET
Dee Valladares leads Big Brother winner odds after Week 1 Head of Household
Who will win Big Brother? VALLADARES 17% · 5.9x
Culture · Big Brother — July 21, 2026, 1:48pm ET
Traders lean toward higher Zyn shipments ahead of Philip Morris’s Q2 report
Zyn US shipment volume in Q2 ABOVE 190 MILL… 70% · 1.4x
Finance · KPIs — July 21, 2026, 11:52am ET
Traders see little chance Bertha reaches hurricane strength
Hurricane Bertha category? CATEGORY 1 OR … 5% · 20.0x
Climate · Hurricanes — July 21, 2026, 3:15pm ET